AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division Feb 27, 2026

Drogheda United

Home
VS
19:45

Shelbourne

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Drogheda United Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Shelbourne Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.35 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.0
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Drogheda United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Drogheda United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Drogheda … vs Bray Wand… 1-3
Nov 01 Drogheda … vs Bohemians… 1-4
Oct 24 Drogheda … vs Galway Un… 1-1
Oct 17 Drogheda … vs Cork City 1-0
Oct 05 Drogheda … vs Waterford 2-0
Sep 26 Drogheda … vs Derry City 1-1
Sep 22 Drogheda … vs Shelbourne 2-1
Sep 19 Drogheda … vs Sligo Rov… 1-1
Sep 12 Drogheda … vs Shamrock … 1-1
Aug 31 Drogheda … vs Shamrock … 2-1
Shelbourne Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Shelbourne vs Bray Wand… 3-0
Dec 18 Shelbourne vs Celje 0-0
Dec 11 Shelbourne vs Crystal P… 0-3
Nov 29 Shelbourne vs Heidelber… 1-0
Nov 27 Shelbourne vs AZ Alkmaar 2-0
Nov 23 Shelbourne vs NWS Spirit 2-0
Nov 14 Shelbourne vs Moreton C… 3-3
Nov 08 Shelbourne vs Broadmead… 2-0
Nov 06 Shelbourne vs Drita 0-1
Nov 01 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2025 Drogheda United 2 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
May 19, 2025 Shelbourne 0 - 0 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Apr 18, 2025 Drogheda United 2 - 2 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Mar 07, 2025 Shelbourne 0 - 1 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Feb 07, 2025 Shelbourne 2 - 0 Drogheda United FAI President'…
Oct 25, 2024 Shelbourne 2 - 1 Drogheda United Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Drogheda United to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Drogheda United Power 0
Shelbourne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.