Copa Santa Catarina · Nov 16, 2025 19:00
Joinville
PWR 44
Figueirense
PWR 58
Joinville
PWR 44
1 - 4
FT
Figueirense
PWR 58
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Joinville to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk
AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (35.3%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack46
Defense52
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.4
Attack63
Defense61
Goals/G1.8
Conc/G1.1
Joinville Form
LWDDW
STABLE
Figueirense Form
LWWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS30%
Under 2.560%
Joinville Goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Figueirense Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Joinvillevs
0.43
FigueirenseDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Joinville-2
Gap#1
Figueirense
WR 32% 24 pts
WR 47% 32 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| Figueirense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 21 | 32 |
Joinville
12.0%
| Nov 09 | Joinvil… v Blumenau | 1-0 |
| Nov 02 | Joinvil… v Blumenau | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | Joinvil… v Criciúma | 2-2 |
| Oct 21 | Joinvil… v Criciúma | 0-0 |
| Oct 13 | Joinvil… v Blumenau | 2-0 |
| Oct 07 | Joinvil… v Nação | 0-1 |
| Oct 01 | Joinvil… v Carlos … | 2-0 |
| Sep 21 | Joinvil… v Carlos … | 4-2 |
| Sep 14 | Joinvil… v Nação | 0-0 |
| Sep 07 | Joinvil… v Blumenau | 2-0 |
Figueirense
10.0%
| Nov 09 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 3-0 |
| Oct 26 | Figueir… v Chapeco… | 2-0 |
| Oct 22 | Figueir… v Chapeco… | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Figueir… v Avaà | 1-1 |
| Oct 04 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 2-2 |
| Oct 01 | Figueir… v Barra | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Figueir… v GuaranĂ… | 1-4 |
| Sep 21 | Figueir… v Barra | 2-1 |
| Sep 15 | Figueir… v MarcĂli… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jan 11, 2025 | Joinville | 0-0 | Figueirense |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Joinville | 0-0 | Figueirense |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Figueirense | 1-1 | Joinville |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Joinville | 1-3 | Figueirense |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Figueirense | 1-1 | Joinville |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Figueirense | 0-0 | Joinville |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.