Eerste Divisie · Nov 26, 2021 19:00

De Graafschap
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Jong AZ
PWR 35
45% H 25% D 30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: De Graafschap to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (10%) 1-2 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 0-3 (7%) 1-3 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
De Graafschap Form LDWWD
STABLE
Jong AZ Form DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS55%
Under 2.543%
De Graafsch… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Jong AZ Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
De Graafschap
vs
2.09
Jong AZ
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
De Graafsch…
+14
Gap
#17
Jong AZ
WR 46% 42 pts WR 46% 26 pts
De Graafschap 12.0%
Nov 05 De Graa… v Den Bos… 2-1
Oct 15 De Graa… v PSV Ein… 0-0
Oct 10 De Graa… v Almere … 1-2
Oct 01 De Graa… v FC OSS 0-3
Sep 24 De Graa… v Utrecht 2-2
Aug 07 De Graa… v Roda 0-3
May 12 De Graa… v Helmond… 0-0
May 07 De Graa… v Jong AZ 1-1
Apr 23 De Graa… v Almere … 2-2
Apr 05 De Graa… v Utrecht 0-1
Jong AZ 12.0%
Nov 22 Jong AZ v Emmen 0-0
Nov 22 Jong AZ v Roda 2-1
Nov 19 Jong AZ v Roda 2-2
Nov 05 Jong AZ v MVV Maa… 0-1
Oct 22 Jong AZ v PSV Ein… 1-3
Oct 18 Jong AZ v Jong AZ 1-1
Sep 27 Jong AZ v MVV Maa… 3-1
Sep 17 Jong AZ v Almere … 2-4
Sep 10 Jong AZ v Utrecht 0-1
Aug 09 Jong AZ v Almere … 2-1
Head-to-Head (1)
May 07, 2021 Jong AZ 1-1 De Graafschap
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.