Eerste Divisie · Nov 26, 2021 19:00

De Graafschap
PWR 35

Jong AZ
PWR 35

De Graafschap
PWR 35
1 - 3
FT

Jong AZ
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: De Graafschap to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (10%)
1-2 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (10%)
0-3 (7%)
1-3 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
De Graafschap Form
LDWWD
STABLE
Jong AZ Form
DWDLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.557%
BTTS55%
Under 2.543%
De Graafsch… Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Jong AZ Goals
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
De Graafschapvs
2.09
Jong AZDecision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings71%
Market50%
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
De Graafsch…+14
Gap#17
Jong AZ
WR 46% 42 pts
WR 46% 26 pts
De Graafschap
12.0%
| Nov 05 | De Graa… v Den Bos… | 2-1 |
| Oct 15 | De Graa… v PSV Ein… | 0-0 |
| Oct 10 | De Graa… v Almere … | 1-2 |
| Oct 01 | De Graa… v FC OSS | 0-3 |
| Sep 24 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 2-2 |
| Aug 07 | De Graa… v Roda | 0-3 |
| May 12 | De Graa… v Helmond… | 0-0 |
| May 07 | De Graa… v Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Apr 23 | De Graa… v Almere … | 2-2 |
| Apr 05 | De Graa… v Utrecht | 0-1 |
Jong AZ
12.0%
| Nov 22 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Jong AZ v Roda | 2-1 |
| Nov 19 | Jong AZ v Roda | 2-2 |
| Nov 05 | Jong AZ v MVV Maa… | 0-1 |
| Oct 22 | Jong AZ v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Oct 18 | Jong AZ v Jong AZ | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Jong AZ v MVV Maa… | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | Jong AZ v Almere … | 2-4 |
| Sep 10 | Jong AZ v Utrecht | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Jong AZ v Almere … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 07, 2021 | Jong AZ | 1-1 | De Graafschap |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.