Predictions Match Details
Eerste Divisie · Apr 05, 2021 12:30

Jong PSV
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT

MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jong PSV Form WDLLL
STABLE
MVV Maastricht Form WWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS48%
Under 2.554%
Jong PSV Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Jong PSV
vs
0.90
MVV Maastricht
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings84%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Jong PSV
+12
Gap
#16
MVV Maastri…
WR 58% 40 pts WR 23% 29 pts
Jong PSV 6.0%
Mar 15 Jong PSV v Utrecht 1-6
Feb 23 Jong PSV v Helmond… 2-2
Jan 22 Jong PSV v Cambuur 5-1
Dec 21 Jong PSV v Almere … 1-2
Nov 30 Jong PSV v Cambuur 0-1
Nov 24 Jong PSV v Utrecht 1-1
MVV Maastricht 12.0%
Apr 02 MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… 2-0
Mar 26 MVV Maa… v Almere … 2-0
Mar 19 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 4-3
Mar 12 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 3-2
Jan 31 MVV Maa… v Cambuur 2-0
Jan 22 MVV Maa… v Helmond… 1-1
Nov 14 MVV Maa… v Roda 2-0
Oct 02 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 3-3
Sep 05 MVV Maa… v Cambuur 1-7
Aug 30 MVV Maa… v Almere … 0-0
Key Factors
MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5)
Jong PSV struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.