Predictions Match Details
Eerste Divisie · Apr 25, 2022 18:00

Jong PSV
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Jong PSV to win (84% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
84%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 74%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 73.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Jong PSV Form DWLLW
STABLE
MVV Maastricht Form LWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS36%
Under 2.562%
Jong PSV Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
MVV Maastri… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Jong PSV
vs
0.60
MVV Maastricht
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum80%
Standings84%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Jong PSV
+12
Gap
#16
MVV Maastri…
WR 58% 40 pts WR 23% 29 pts
Jong PSV 10.0%
Apr 19 Jong PSV v ADO Den… 2-2
Apr 15 Jong PSV v PSV Ein… 1-3
Apr 08 Jong PSV v FC OSS 2-0
Feb 14 Jong PSV v Utrecht 0-2
Feb 04 Jong PSV v Helmond… 2-0
Jan 10 Jong PSV v Almere … 5-1
Nov 26 Jong PSV v MVV Maa… 1-2
Nov 05 Jong PSV v FC OSS 2-2
Oct 22 Jong PSV v Almere … 3-5
Sep 20 Jong PSV v ADO Den… 0-1
MVV Maastricht 4.0%
Apr 08 MVV Maa… v Utrecht 2-4
Apr 01 MVV Maa… v Helmond… 1-2
Mar 27 MVV Maa… v Almere … 0-3
Mar 14 MVV Maa… v Jong AZ 2-3
Mar 11 MVV Maa… v Den Bos… 3-1
Jan 29 MVV Maa… v PSV Ein… 1-0
Jan 07 MVV Maa… v Roda 1-0
Nov 29 MVV Maa… v Roda 1-1
Nov 26 MVV Maa… v Jong PSV 1-2
Nov 19 MVV Maa… v Almere … 0-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1-2 Jong PSV
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3-1 MVV Maastricht
Key Factors
MVV Maastricht struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.