AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Feb 19, 2024

MVV Maastricht

Home
VS
19:00

Jong PSV

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
MVV Maastricht Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Jong PSV Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.23 - 0.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MVV Maastricht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Jong PSV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
75%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (5%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
MVV Maastricht Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 3-0
Jan 26 MVV Maast… vs PSV Eindh… 0-3
Jan 19 MVV Maast… vs Utrecht 3-0
Jan 12 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 5-2
Dec 08 MVV Maast… vs Helmond S… 1-2
Dec 01 MVV Maast… vs Jong AZ 4-0
Nov 26 MVV Maast… vs Roda 1-0
Nov 02 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 4-1
Oct 30 MVV Maast… vs Utrecht 1-1
Oct 20 MVV Maast… vs Cambuur 1-1
Jong PSV Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Jong PSV vs Willem II 1-1
Jan 19 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-2
Dec 01 Jong PSV vs Utrecht 0-0
Nov 06 Jong PSV vs ADO Den H… 1-2
Oct 23 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 3-4
Oct 06 Jong PSV vs MVV Maast… 2-3
Sep 29 Jong PSV vs Cambuur 3-4
Aug 28 Jong PSV vs Helmond S… 2-1
Aug 18 Jong PSV vs FC OSS 4-1
May 19 Jong PSV vs PSV Eindh… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • MVV Maastricht in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2023 Jong PSV 2 - 3 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Apr 24, 2023 Jong PSV 0 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Oct 14, 2022 MVV Maastricht 1 - 1 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 25, 2022 Jong PSV 2 - 2 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Nov 26, 2021 MVV Maastricht 1 - 2 Jong PSV Eerste Divisie
Apr 05, 2021 Jong PSV 3 - 1 MVV Maastricht Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MVV Maastricht Power 0
Jong PSV Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

MVV Maastricht Position

-15

Position Gap

3

Jong PSV Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.