AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eerste Divisie Sep 18, 2023

Emmen

Home
VS
18:00

Jong Utrecht

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Emmen Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Jong Utrecht Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.11 - 1.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.4
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Emmen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Jong Utrecht Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Emmen Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 15 Emmen vs Jong AZ 3-3
Aug 11 Emmen vs Cambuur 2-2
Aug 04 Emmen vs FC OSS 2-3
Jun 11 Emmen vs Almere Ci… 1-2
Jun 06 Emmen vs Almere Ci… 2-0
Apr 01 Emmen vs Cambuur 1-2
Jan 15 Emmen vs Cambuur 0-0
May 06 Emmen vs ADO Den H… 3-0
Apr 22 Emmen vs Roda 2-0
Apr 08 Emmen vs Jong AZ 3-0
Jong Utrecht Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 11 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 2-0
Oct 01 Jong Utre… vs Emmen 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Emmen struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2022 Emmen 2 - 0 Jong Utrecht Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 Jong Utrecht 0 - 1 Emmen Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Emmen to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
Emmen Power 0
Jong Utrecht Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Emmen Position

-3

Position Gap

11

Jong Utrecht Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.