Bundesliga · Nov 04, 2023 14:30

Union Berlin
PWR 46
0 - 3
FT

Eintracht Frankfurt
PWR 32
37% H 27% D 36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack60
Defense70
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
Attack60
Defense33
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G2.3
Union Berlin Form LDLLL
STABLE
Eintracht Fran… Form DWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.565%
BTTS66%
Under 2.535%
Union Berlin Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Eintracht F… Goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Union Berlin
vs
1.42
Eintracht Fran…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Union Berlin
-1
Gap
#8
Eintracht F…
WR 27% 25 pts WR 27% 28 pts
Union Berlin 2.0%
Oct 31 Union B… v VfB Stu… 1-0
Oct 29 Union B… v Geestem… 1-1
Oct 21 Union B… v VfB Stu… 0-3
Oct 07 Union B… v Borussi… 4-2
Sep 30 Union B… v FC Heid… 1-0
Sep 23 Union B… v 1899 Ho… 0-2
Sep 16 Union B… v VfL Wol… 2-1
Sep 03 Union B… v RB Leip… 0-3
Aug 20 Union B… v FSV Mai… 4-1
Aug 13 Union B… v Geestem… 4-1
Eintracht Fran… 8.0%
Oct 29 Eintrac… v Borussi… 3-3
Oct 21 Eintrac… v 1899 Ho… 1-3
Sep 03 Eintrac… v FC Koln 1-1
Jun 03 Eintrac… v RB Leip… 2-0
May 06 Eintrac… v 1899 Ho… 3-1
May 03 Eintrac… v VfB Stu… 2-3
Apr 29 Eintrac… v FC Augs… 1-1
Apr 22 Eintrac… v Borussi… 4-0
Apr 08 Eintrac… v Bayer L… 3-1
Apr 04 Eintrac… v Union B… 2-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Apr 04, 2023 Eintracht Fra… 2-0 Union Berlin
Mar 19, 2023 Union Berlin 2-0 Eintracht Fra…
Oct 01, 2022 Eintracht Fra… 2-0 Union Berlin
Apr 17, 2022 Union Berlin 2-0 Eintracht Fra…
Nov 28, 2021 Eintracht Fra… 2-1 Union Berlin
Key Factors
Union Berlin struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.