La Liga · Feb 21, 2025 20:00
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
Osasuna
PWR 35
Celta de Vigo
PWR 38
1 - 0
FT
Osasuna
PWR 35
35% H
27% D
38% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 8.3% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack40
Defense69
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.0
Attack35
Defense63
Goals/G1.2
Conc/G1.2
Celta de Vigo Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Osasuna Form
DDLWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS55%
Under 2.540%
Celta de Vi… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Osasuna Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Celta de Vigovs
0.95
OsasunaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings54%
Market50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
Celta de Vi…+1
Gap#8
Osasuna
WR 25% 33 pts
WR 17% 29 pts
Celta de Vigo
2.0%
| Feb 02 | Celta d… v Valencia | 2-1 |
| Jan 27 | Celta d… v Alavés | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Celta d… v Athleti… | 1-2 |
| Jan 16 | Celta d… v Real Ma… | 5-2 |
| Jan 10 | Celta d… v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | Celta d… v Santand… | 2-3 |
| Dec 21 | Celta d… v Real So… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Celta d… v Sevilla… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Celta d… v Espanyol | 3-1 |
| Nov 23 | Celta d… v FC Barc… | 2-2 |
Osasuna
10.0%
| Feb 15 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 1-1 |
| Feb 10 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | Osasuna v Real So… | 2-0 |
| Feb 02 | Osasuna v Real So… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Osasuna v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | Osasuna v Valencia | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Osasuna v Athleti… | 2-3 |
| Jan 12 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Osasuna v Tenerife | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Sep 01, 2024 | Osasuna | 3-2 | Celta de Vigo |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Osasuna | 0-3 | Celta de Vigo |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Celta de Vigo | 0-2 | Osasuna |
| Mar 06, 2023 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Nov 05, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 1-2 | Osasuna |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Celta de Vigo | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Aug 23, 2021 | Osasuna | 0-0 | Celta de Vigo |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Celta de Vigo | 2-1 | Osasuna |
Key Factors
Celta de Vigo struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.