Friendlies Clubs · Feb 08, 2025 12:00

Sarpsborg 08
PWR 52
2-1
predicted

Moss
PWR 37
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Sarpsborg 08 to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 73%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy68%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskConfidence 72.9% below league threshold 75.0%
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense36
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.8
Attack58
Defense18
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G2.3
Sarpsborg 08 Form WWDDW
STABLE
Moss Form LLDWW
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.568%
BTTS62%
Under 2.532%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
0
5%
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
Moss Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Sarpsborg 08
vs
1.07
Moss
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#173
Sarpsborg 08
+628
Gap
#801
Moss
WR 50% 9 pts WR 33% 3 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Sarpsborg 08630312119
Moss3102573
Sarpsborg 08 16.0%
Feb 07 Sarpsbo… v Moss 2-1
Dec 01 Sarpsbo… v Tromsø … 2-1
Nov 23 Sarpsbo… v Rosenbo… 1-1
Nov 10 Sarpsbo… v Molde 2-2
Nov 03 Sarpsbo… v KFUM Os… 1-2
Oct 27 Sarpsbo… v Viking 1-2
Oct 20 Sarpsbo… v HamKam 0-2
May 08 Sarpsbo… v Molde 4-2
Mar 02 Sarpsbo… v Moss 1-4
Dec 03 Sarpsbo… v Bodø/Gl… 2-0
Moss 10.0%
Feb 07 Moss v Sarpsbo… 2-1
Dec 08 Moss v Aalesund 2-0
Dec 05 Moss v Aalesund 0-0
Dec 01 Moss v Kongsvi… 3-2
Nov 09 Moss v Lyn 1-2
Nov 02 Moss v Raufoss 3-2
Oct 26 Moss v Start 1-1
Oct 21 Moss v Levante 5-1
Oct 06 Moss v Ă…sane 1-1
Sep 28 Moss v Bryne 3-0
Head-to-Head (4)
Feb 07, 2025 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Moss
Mar 02, 2024 Sarpsborg 08 1-4 Moss
Mar 05, 2023 Sarpsborg 08 4-0 Moss
Jun 22, 2022 Moss 1-0 Sarpsborg 08
Key Factors
Sarpsborg 08 in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.