Liga Portugal 2 · Mar 29, 2021 20:00
Chaves
PWR 35
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
Chaves
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Penafiel FC
PWR 35
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Chaves to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (27%)
0-0 (23%)
0-2 (16%)
1-1 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
0-3 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)ā ļø Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probabilityš” PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.1% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Chaves Form
WDLLW
STABLE
Penafiel FC Form
WDWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.518%
BTTS18%
Under 2.582%
Chaves Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Penafiel FC Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Chavesvs
1.16
Penafiel FCDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum38%
Standings58%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Chaves+7
Gap#17
Penafiel FC
WR 18% 27 pts
WR 27% 23 pts
Chaves
10.0%
| Mar 07 | Chaves v Moreireā¦ | 0-1 |
| Feb 14 | Chaves v Benfica | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Chaves v Penafieā¦ | 1-0 |
| Oct 20 | Chaves v Moreireā¦ | 0-2 |
| Sep 23 | Chaves v Benfica | 3-4 |
Penafiel FC
14.0%
| Mar 03 | Penafieā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Penafieā¦ v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Penafieā¦ v Chaves | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Penafieā¦ v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Sep 18 | Penafieā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 09, 2020 | Penafiel FC | 1-0 | Chaves |
Key Factors
Penafiel FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.