Friendlies Clubs · Jul 18, 2023 17:00
Penafiel FC
PWR 23
Chaves
PWR 50
Penafiel FC
PWR 23
1 - 2
FT
Chaves
PWR 50
29% H
28% D
43% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Chaves to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (11%)
0-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack23
Defense42
Goals/G0.7
Conc/G1.7
Attack35
Defense65
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.0
Penafiel FC Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Chaves Form
WWWDL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.537%
BTTS43%
Under 2.563%
Penafiel FC Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Chaves Goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Penafiel FCvs
0.90
ChavesDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1058
Penafiel FC-296
Gap#762
Chaves
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penafiel FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Chaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Penafiel FC
4.0%
| Jul 15 | Penafie… v Pacos F… | 1-1 |
| May 21 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 5-1 |
| Apr 03 | Penafie… v FC Porto | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 3-1 |
| Mar 04 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-1 |
| Jan 29 | Penafie… v Leixões… | 2-1 |
| Jan 14 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 0-0 |
| Nov 17 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Penafie… v FC Porto | 0-0 |
| Sep 17 | Penafie… v Moreire… | 1-1 |
Chaves
14.0%
| May 13 | Chaves v Pacos F… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Chaves v Portimo… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Chaves v Marítimo | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | Chaves v Pacos F… | 1-1 |
| Sep 16 | Chaves v Portimo… | 1-0 |
| Aug 15 | Chaves v Marítimo | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Chaves v Penafie… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Chaves v Benfica | 1-1 |
| Oct 10 | Chaves v Penafie… | 3-1 |
| Oct 03 | Chaves v Benfica | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 06, 2022 | Penafiel FC | 2-1 | Chaves |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Chaves | 3-1 | Penafiel FC |
| Mar 29, 2021 | Chaves | 2-1 | Penafiel FC |
| Nov 09, 2020 | Penafiel FC | 1-0 | Chaves |
Key Factors
Chaves in strong form (3W in last 5)
Penafiel FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.