Australia Cup · Jul 18, 2023 09:30
Perth Glory
PWR 55
Perth Glory
PWR 55
0 - 4
FT
Macarthur FC
PWR 71
PWR 71
59% H
22% D
19% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Macarthur FC to win (78% confidence)
Prediction
1-3
Score
78%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-4
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack100
Defense0
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G3.3
Attack88
Defense59
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.2
Perth Glory Form
DLDWW
STABLE
Macarthur FC Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS53%
Under 2.534%
Perth Glory Goals
0
3%
1
10%
2
18%
3
21%
4
19%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.60
Perth Gloryvs
0.78
Macarthur FCDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Perth Glory-3
Gap#1
Macarthur FC
WR 67% 6 pts
WR 67% 12 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| Macarthur FC | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 12 |
Perth Glory
12.0%
| Apr 23 | Perth G… v Adelaid… | 4-4 |
| Apr 16 | Perth G… v Sydney | 4-1 |
| Apr 09 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 0-0 |
| Apr 01 | Perth G… v Macarth… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Perth G… v Western… | 1-0 |
| Feb 26 | Perth G… v Brisban… | 2-1 |
| Feb 18 | Perth G… v Central… | 2-2 |
| Feb 11 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 2-4 |
| Jan 21 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 3-1 |
| Jan 14 | Perth G… v Sydney | 2-2 |
Macarthur FC
2.0%
| Apr 29 | Macarth… v Welling… | 0-1 |
| Apr 23 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Apr 14 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 2-1 |
| Apr 08 | Macarth… v Western… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Macarth… v Perth G… | 2-1 |
| Mar 19 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Macarth… v Central… | 4-1 |
| Mar 05 | Macarth… v Brisban… | 3-2 |
| Feb 25 | Macarth… v Western… | 4-0 |
| Feb 18 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Apr 01, 2023 | Perth Glory | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 1-0 | Perth Glory |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 4-2 | Perth Glory |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Perth Glory | 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.