Predictions Match Details
A-League · Jan 28, 2024 06:00
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Perth Glory
PWR 35
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Macarthur FC Form WDDLL
STABLE
Perth Glory Form WLLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS80%
Under 2.524%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
Perth Glory Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Macarthur FC
vs
1.79
Perth Glory
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Macarthur FC
+5
Gap
#9
Perth Glory
WR 33% 25 pts WR 43% 20 pts
Macarthur FC 8.0%
Jan 18 Macarth… v Brisban… 1-3
Jan 08 Macarth… v Adelaid… 1-1
Jan 05 Macarth… v Newcast… 1-1
Jan 01 Macarth… v Western… 3-1
Dec 23 Macarth… v Perth G… 3-2
Dec 18 Macarth… v Welling… 0-3
Dec 09 Macarth… v Sydney 0-2
Dec 04 Macarth… v Adelaid… 4-3
Nov 24 Macarth… v Melbour… 1-1
Nov 12 Macarth… v Melbour… 3-3
Perth Glory 8.0%
Jan 20 Perth G… v Western… 1-2
Jan 06 Perth G… v Melbour… 2-3
Dec 31 Perth G… v Central… 4-2
Dec 23 Perth G… v Macarth… 3-2
Dec 08 Perth G… v Melbour… 1-2
Dec 02 Perth G… v Sydney 3-2
Nov 26 Perth G… v Brisban… 2-1
Nov 11 Perth G… v Western… 2-0
Nov 04 Perth G… v Central… 2-0
Jul 18 Perth G… v Macarth… 0-4
Head-to-Head (6)
Dec 23, 2023 Perth Glory 3-2 Macarthur FC
Jul 18, 2023 Perth Glory 0-4 Macarthur FC
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2-1 Macarthur FC
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1-0 Perth Glory
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4-2 Perth Glory
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0-1 Macarthur FC
Key Factors
Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.