A-League · Oct 20, 2024 05:00
Perth Glory
PWR 35
Macarthur FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
6 - 1
FT
Perth Glory
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
1-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 6-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Macarthur FC Form
LWLLW
STABLE
Perth Glory Form
WWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS72%
Under 2.529%
Macarthur FC Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
11%
Perth Glory Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Macarthur FCvs
1.66
Perth GloryDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Macarthur FC+5
Gap#9
Perth Glory
WR 33% 25 pts
WR 43% 20 pts
Macarthur FC
8.0%
| Sep 29 | Macarth… v Melbour… | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | Macarth… v Newcast… | 3-4 |
| May 04 | Macarth… v Sydney | 4-0 |
| Apr 27 | Macarth… v Welling… | 3-0 |
| Apr 20 | Macarth… v Sydney | 1-0 |
| Apr 12 | Macarth… v Adelaid… | 1-2 |
| Apr 06 | Macarth… v Western… | 4-2 |
| Apr 01 | Macarth… v Western… | 1-3 |
| Mar 16 | Macarth… v Brisban… | 1-2 |
| Mar 10 | Macarth… v Central… | 0-3 |
Perth Glory
8.0%
| Aug 03 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 5-4 |
| Jul 23 | Perth G… v Brisban… | 2-4 |
| Apr 28 | Perth G… v Sydney | 7-1 |
| Apr 21 | Perth G… v Western… | 3-4 |
| Apr 14 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 8-0 |
| Apr 07 | Perth G… v Adelaid… | 2-4 |
| Apr 03 | Perth G… v Sydney | 1-1 |
| Mar 31 | Perth G… v Melbour… | 2-1 |
| Mar 16 | Perth G… v Western… | 1-2 |
| Mar 09 | Perth G… v Newcast… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jan 28, 2024 | Macarthur FC | 2-2 | Perth Glory |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Perth Glory | 3-2 | Macarthur FC |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Perth Glory | 0-4 | Macarthur FC |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Perth Glory | 2-1 | Macarthur FC |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 1-0 | Perth Glory |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Macarthur FC | 4-2 | Perth Glory |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Perth Glory | 0-1 | Macarthur FC |
Key Factors
Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5)
Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.