Liga Alef · Feb 10, 2024 18:30
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
PWR 35
47% H 25% D 28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 0-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.7% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Tzeirei Umm al… Form WLDLL
STABLE
Hapoel Migdal … Form DDDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.554%
BTTS57%
Under 2.546%
Tzeirei Umm… Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Hapoel Migd… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Tzeirei Umm al…
vs
1.59
Hapoel Migdal …
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum47%
Standings44%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#11
Tzeirei Umm…
-3
Gap
#8
Hapoel Migd…
WR 40% 23 pts WR 33% 25 pts
Tzeirei Umm al… 6.0%
Dec 29 Tzeirei… v Ironi N… 0-3
Dec 19 Tzeirei… v Maccabi… 2-1
Sep 13 Tzeirei… v Tira 2-2
Sep 01 Tzeirei… v Tira 1-0
Sep 03 Tzeirei… v Hapoel … 1-0
Hapoel Migdal … 6.0%
Feb 06 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-1
Dec 22 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 0-0
Dec 19 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-2
Sep 28 Hapoel … v Tira 1-2
Sep 01 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 1-3
Apr 20 Hapoel … v Tira 4-5
Mar 31 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 2-1
Mar 03 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 0-2
Jan 06 Hapoel … v Tira 2-2
Dec 16 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 0-1
Key Factors
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.