Predictions Match Details
Liga Alef · Jan 21, 2025 12:30

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
PWR 35
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk41%
Accuracy42%
AWAY_WEAK_RATE
AH: Draw No Bet (AH 0) - High draw risk AH_0
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBoth mid-table = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (40.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Hapoel Migdal … Form WDWWL
STABLE
Tzeirei Umm al… Form WDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.564%
BTTS60%
Under 2.536%
Hapoel Migd… Goals
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Tzeirei Umm… Goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Hapoel Migdal …
vs
1.06
Tzeirei Umm al…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum85%
Standings61%
Market50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Hapoel Migd…
+3
Gap
#11
Tzeirei Umm…
WR 30% 25 pts WR 10% 23 pts
Hapoel Migdal … 14.0%
Jan 17 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 3-1
Jan 03 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 2-2
Dec 20 Hapoel … v Hapoel … 1-3
Dec 06 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 3-0
Sep 20 Hapoel … v Tira 4-2
Sep 17 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 4-0
May 03 Hapoel … v Tzeirei… 1-1
Apr 26 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 3-3
Mar 15 Hapoel … v Ironi B… 0-2
Mar 12 Hapoel … v Maccabi… 1-0
Tzeirei Umm al… 6.0%
Nov 28 Tzeirei… v Ironi N… 1-0
May 03 Tzeirei… v Hapoel … 1-1
Mar 21 Tzeirei… v Ironi N… 0-2
Mar 12 Tzeirei… v Maccabi… 0-2
Feb 26 Tzeirei… v Maccabi… 2-1
Feb 22 Tzeirei… v Tira 2-2
Feb 10 Tzeirei… v Hapoel … 2-2
Dec 29 Tzeirei… v Ironi N… 0-3
Dec 19 Tzeirei… v Maccabi… 2-1
Sep 13 Tzeirei… v Tira 2-2
Head-to-Head (2)
May 03, 2024 Hapoel Migdal… 1-1 Tzeirei Umm a…
Feb 10, 2024 Tzeirei Umm a… 2-2 Hapoel Migdal…
Key Factors
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek in strong form (3W in last 5)
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.