AI Match Insights

Liga Alef Feb 26, 2024

Holon Yermiyahu

Home
VS
18:40

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Holon Yermiyahu Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 3.04 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.1
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Holon Yermiyahu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Holon Yermiyahu Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ac… 3-0
Feb 06 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel He… 0-0
Jan 26 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi K… 0-2
Jan 19 Holon Yer… vs Dimona 0-1
Jan 10 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi A… 0-3
Dec 29 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi A… 1-1
Oct 03 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ac… 0-2
Sep 21 Holon Yer… vs Shimshon … 0-1
Apr 07 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ac… 4-1
Mar 17 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi A… 1-2
Shimshon Tel Aviv Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Shimshon … vs Hapoel Ac… 0-0
Feb 01 Shimshon … vs Hapoel He… 3-0
Jan 19 Shimshon … vs Maccabi K… 2-1
Jan 12 Shimshon … vs Dimona 3-1
Dec 24 Shimshon … vs Maccabi A… 2-1
Oct 05 Shimshon … vs Beitar Je… 2-2
Sep 21 Shimshon … vs Holon Yer… 0-1
Aug 31 Shimshon … vs Hapoel He… 2-2
Apr 17 Shimshon … vs Maccabi A… 5-1
Apr 04 Shimshon … vs Dimona 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shimshon Tel Aviv in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Feb 23, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Oct 22, 2022 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Mar 29, 2022 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 3 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Dec 10, 2021 Holon Yermiyahu 2 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Holon Yermiyahu Power 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Holon Yermiyahu Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Shimshon Tel Aviv Position

Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.