AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Alef Jan 17, 2025

Holon Yermiyahu

Home
VS
11:10

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Holon Yermiyahu Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.28 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Holon Yermiyahu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 28%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Holon Yermiyahu Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 28 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi A… 1-4
Dec 02 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel He… 3-1
Nov 05 Holon Yer… vs Tzeirey T… 2-0
Nov 01 Holon Yer… vs Beitar Je… 0-0
Oct 15 Holon Yer… vs Hapoel Ac… 1-1
Oct 09 Holon Yer… vs Maccabi K… 2-1
Sep 26 Holon Yer… vs Dimona 0-2
Sep 17 Holon Yer… vs Shimshon … 1-1
Aug 29 Holon Yer… vs Tzeirey T… 0-1
May 12 Holon Yer… vs Dimona 2-0
Shimshon Tel Aviv Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 Shimshon … vs Hapoel He… 0-2
Dec 13 Shimshon … vs Beitar Je… 1-1
Dec 07 Shimshon … vs Maccabi K… 0-4
Oct 31 Shimshon … vs Maccabi A… 0-1
Oct 15 Shimshon … vs Beitar Je… 1-0
Oct 09 Shimshon … vs Tzeirey T… 1-1
Sep 27 Shimshon … vs Hapoel Ac… 0-0
Sep 20 Shimshon … vs Dimona 1-2
Sep 17 Shimshon … vs Holon Yer… 1-1
May 20 Shimshon … vs Dimona 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Holon Yermiyahu in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Shimshon Tel Aviv struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 17, 2024 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Feb 26, 2024 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Sep 21, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 0 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Feb 23, 2023 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Oct 22, 2022 Holon Yermiyahu 0 - 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Mar 29, 2022 Shimshon Tel Aviv 1 - 3 Holon Yermiyahu Liga Alef
Dec 10, 2021 Holon Yermiyahu 2 - 1 Shimshon Tel Aviv Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Holon Yermiyahu Power 0
Shimshon Tel Aviv Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Holon Yermiyahu Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Shimshon Tel Aviv Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.