AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Feb 12, 2026

Şahdağ

Home
VS
10:30

Cəbrayıl

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Şahdağ Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Cəbrayıl Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.32 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.2
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Şahdağ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Şahdağ Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Şahdağ vs Energetik 1-1
Dec 18 Şahdağ vs Səbail FK 2-2
Dec 10 Şahdağ vs Baku Spor… 2-1
Dec 02 Şahdağ vs Turan Tov… 1-2
Nov 27 Şahdağ vs Safa Baku 0-2
Nov 20 Şahdağ vs Zaqatala 1-0
Nov 06 Şahdağ vs Şimal 4-2
Oct 29 Şahdağ vs Şimal 0-2
Oct 23 Şahdağ vs Cəbrayıl 3-1
Oct 16 Şahdağ vs Difai Ağsu 1-2
Cəbrayıl Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 1-1
Dec 25 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 5-2
Dec 19 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 0-1
Dec 10 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Nov 27 Cəbrayıl vs Səbail FK 0-2
Nov 20 Cəbrayıl vs Şimal 7-0
Nov 05 Cəbrayıl vs Baku Spor… 2-0
Oct 28 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 0-3
Oct 23 Cəbrayıl vs Şahdağ 3-1
Oct 16 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Şahdağ struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2025 Cəbrayıl 3 - 1 Şahdağ Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Şahdağ Power 0
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Şahdağ Position

-1

Position Gap

7

Cəbrayıl Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.