AI Match Insights

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Birinci Dəstə Feb 12, 2026

Səbail FK

Home
VS
13:00

Safa Baku

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Səbail FK Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Safa Baku Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 42%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.83 - 1.42
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Səbail FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Safa Baku Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Səbail FK Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Səbail FK vs Zaqatala 0-1
Dec 24 Səbail FK vs Şimal 3-4
Dec 18 Səbail FK vs Şahdağ 2-2
Dec 11 Səbail FK vs Difai Ağsu 3-0
Nov 27 Səbail FK vs Cəbrayıl 0-2
Nov 21 Səbail FK vs Baku Spor… 0-0
Nov 05 Səbail FK vs MOIK 1-0
Oct 29 Səbail FK vs Şamaxı 0-1
Oct 23 Səbail FK vs Safa Baku 2-2
Oct 15 Səbail FK vs Zaqatala 1-0
Safa Baku Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Safa Baku vs Baku Spor… 1-1
Dec 25 Safa Baku vs MOIK 0-2
Dec 19 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 0-1
Dec 11 Safa Baku vs Zaqatala 1-1
Dec 04 Safa Baku vs Qabala 2-1
Nov 27 Safa Baku vs Şahdağ 0-2
Nov 22 Safa Baku vs Difai Ağsu 1-1
Nov 05 Safa Baku vs Energetik 2-3
Oct 28 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 0-3
Oct 23 Safa Baku vs Səbail FK 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2025 Safa Baku 2 - 2 Səbail FK Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Səbail FK to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Səbail FK Power 0
Safa Baku Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Səbail FK Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Safa Baku Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.