AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Feb 18, 2026

Safa Baku

Home
VS
14:00

Energetik

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Safa Baku Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Energetik Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.01 - 1.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 1.3
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Safa Baku Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Energetik Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Safa Baku Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 25 Safa Baku vs MOIK 0-2
Dec 19 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 0-1
Dec 11 Safa Baku vs Zaqatala 1-1
Dec 04 Safa Baku vs Qabala 2-1
Nov 27 Safa Baku vs ÅžahdaÄŸ 0-2
Nov 22 Safa Baku vs Difai AÄŸsu 1-1
Nov 05 Safa Baku vs Energetik 2-3
Oct 28 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 0-3
Oct 23 Safa Baku vs Səbail FK 2-2
Oct 17 Safa Baku vs Baku Spor… 1-2
Energetik Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 24 Energetik vs ÅžahdaÄŸ 1-1
Dec 18 Energetik vs Difai AÄŸsu 1-1
Dec 10 Energetik vs Cəbrayıl 2-0
Nov 26 Energetik vs Baku Spor… 1-2
Nov 20 Energetik vs MOIK 0-3
Nov 05 Energetik vs Safa Baku 2-3
Oct 29 Energetik vs Qabala 5-1
Oct 23 Energetik vs Zaqatala 2-3
Oct 16 Energetik vs Åžimal 3-1
Oct 01 Energetik vs ÅžahdaÄŸ 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Safa Baku in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2025 Energetik 2 - 3 Safa Baku Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Safa Baku to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Safa Baku Power 0
Energetik Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Safa Baku Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Energetik Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.