AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Catarinense - 1 Mar 07, 2026

MarcĂ­lio Dias

Home
VS
18:00

Joinville

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
MarcĂ­lio Dias Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Joinville Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.02 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
MarcĂ­lio Dias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
MarcĂ­lio Dias Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Marcílio … vs Joinville 2-4
Jan 25 Marcílio … vs Carlos Re… 2-4
Jan 22 Marcílio … vs Barra 0-1
Jan 18 Marcílio … vs Chapecoen… 1-0
Jan 15 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 0-1
Jan 10 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 1-0
Jan 07 Marcílio … vs Criciúma 2-0
Nov 09 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 02 Marcílio … vs Figueiren… 3-0
Oct 25 Marcílio … vs Santa Cat… 1-1
Joinville Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Joinville vs Marcílio … 2-4
Jan 25 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 6-0
Jan 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 0-1
Jan 18 Joinville vs Santa Cat… 3-1
Jan 15 Joinville vs CriciĂşma 0-0
Jan 10 Joinville vs Barra 1-0
Jan 07 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-3
Nov 23 Joinville vs Figueiren… 2-1
Nov 16 Joinville vs Figueiren… 1-4
Nov 09 Joinville vs Blumenau 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • MarcĂ­lio Dias struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Joinville struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 03, 2026 Joinville 2 - 4 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Feb 06, 2025 Joinville 1 - 1 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Sep 29, 2024 Joinville 2 - 2 Marcílio Dias Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 20, 2024 Joinville 2 - 3 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Sep 10, 2023 Marcílio Dias 2 - 1 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Jan 19, 2023 Joinville 0 - 0 MarcĂ­lio Dias Catarinense - 1
Feb 06, 2022 MarcĂ­lio Dias 3 - 0 Joinville Catarinense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MarcĂ­lio Dias Power 0
Joinville Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

MarcĂ­lio Dias Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Joinville Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.