AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Feb 11, 2026

Matagalpa

Home
VS
21:00

Jalapa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Matagalpa Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Jalapa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.83 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Matagalpa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Matagalpa vs UNAN Mana… 0-0
Jan 31 Matagalpa vs Real Madr… 1-1
Jan 24 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 0-2
Jan 19 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 0-1
Nov 27 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 2-0
Nov 23 Matagalpa vs Real Este… 1-0
Nov 06 Matagalpa vs Walter Fe… 1-2
Nov 02 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 3-0
Oct 26 Matagalpa vs Jalapa 3-0
Oct 23 Matagalpa vs Diriangén 2-2
Jalapa Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Jalapa vs H&H Export 0-0
Feb 01 Jalapa vs Real Este… 2-2
Jan 24 Jalapa vs Diriangén 2-1
Jan 17 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-0
Nov 16 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-1
Nov 06 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 4-0
Nov 01 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Oct 26 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 3-0
Oct 23 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-0
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Matagalpa 3 - 0 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Aug 16, 2025 Jalapa 0 - 2 Matagalpa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Matagalpa Power 0
Jalapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Matagalpa Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Jalapa Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.