AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Jul 03, 2025

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
VS
18:30

Naft Maysan

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Naft Maysan Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.47 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Naft Maysan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Al Quwa A… vs Duhok 4-0
May 01 Al Quwa A… vs Al Zawra'a 2-2
Apr 26 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 1-1
Apr 21 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 3-0
Mar 30 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 4-0
Mar 02 Al Quwa A… vs Naft 0-0
Feb 15 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Karma 2-1
Jan 30 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 1-2
Jan 25 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 4-0
Jan 18 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 0-1
Naft Maysan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 28 Naft Mays… vs Al Najaf 3-1
May 28 Naft Mays… vs Duhok 0-0
May 18 Naft Mays… vs Naft 0-0
May 13 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 0-2
May 07 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 3-2
Apr 16 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 0-1
Apr 04 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
Mar 13 Naft Mays… vs Al Shorta… 0-4
Jan 28 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Jan 24 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 16, 2024 Naft Maysan 0 - 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Apr 15, 2024 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Feb 15, 2024 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Apr 20, 2023 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Oct 30, 2022 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Feb 20, 2022 Naft Maysan 1 - 2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Sep 30, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 0 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
May 16, 2021 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Jan 01, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Power 0
Naft Maysan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Naft Maysan Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.