Azerbaijan Premier League · Oct 27, 2024 15:00
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
Şamaxı
PWR 35
Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
3 - 0
FT
Şamaxı
PWR 35
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Qarabağ FK to win (81% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
81%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (24%)
0-2 (18%)
0-0 (16%)
0-3 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-0
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form
LWWWW
STABLE
Şamaxı Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS22%
Under 2.573%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
71%
1
24%
2
4%
3
1%
4
0%
Şamaxı Goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34
Qarabağ FKvs
1.49
ŞamaxıDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK+6
Gap#8
Şamaxı
WR 64% 39 pts
WR 30% 23 pts
Qarabağ FK
16.0%
| Oct 24 | Qarabağ… v Ajax | 0-3 |
| Oct 18 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 0-5 |
| Oct 06 | Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt | 0-1 |
| Sep 29 | Qarabağ… v Sabah FA | 3-2 |
| Sep 20 | Qarabağ… v Neftchi… | 4-0 |
| Sep 01 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 1-3 |
| Aug 24 | Qarabağ… v Turan T… | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Qarabağ… v Kəpəz | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Qarabağ… v Araz | 1-4 |
| Jun 02 | Qarabağ… v Zira | 2-1 |
Şamaxı
12.0%
| Oct 19 | Şamaxı v Araz | 0-1 |
| Sep 20 | Şamaxı v Kəpəz | 0-2 |
| Sep 14 | Şamaxı v Sumqayıt | 1-0 |
| Aug 25 | Şamaxı v Zira | 0-1 |
| Aug 10 | Şamaxı v Araz | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Şamaxı v Karviná | 3-0 |
| Mar 29 | Şamaxı v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Şamaxı v Karviná | 0-6 |
| Dec 14 | Şamaxı v Mil-Muğ… | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Şamaxı v Karviná | 2-4 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Apr 02, 2023 | Şamaxı | 0-1 | Qarabağ FK |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Qarabağ FK | 3-1 | Şamaxı |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Şamaxı | 0-4 | Qarabağ FK |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Qarabağ FK | 4-0 | Şamaxı |
| Apr 15, 2022 | Qarabağ FK | 8-0 | Şamaxı |
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
Şamaxı in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.