Predictions Match Details
Azerbaijan Premier League · Jan 17, 2025 15:00

Qarabağ FK
PWR 35
3 - 2
FT

Şamaxı
PWR 35
71% H 20% D 9% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Qarabağ FK to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy56%
POINTS_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Qarabağ FK Form WWWDW
UP
Şamaxı Form LLLLL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.561%
BTTS34%
Under 2.539%
Qarabağ FK Goals
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Şamaxı Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.82
Qarabağ FK
vs
0.43
Şamaxı
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings72%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Qarabağ FK
+6
Gap
#8
Şamaxı
WR 64% 39 pts WR 30% 23 pts
Qarabağ FK 18.0%
Dec 22 Qarabağ… v Araz 2-0
Dec 19 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 0-1
Dec 16 Qarabağ… v Sumqayıt 5-0
Dec 07 Qarabağ… v Sabah FA 1-1
Dec 04 Qarabağ… v Qabala 0-2
Dec 01 Qarabağ… v Neftchi… 0-3
Nov 10 Qarabağ… v Zira 4-0
Nov 01 Qarabağ… v Turan T… 0-0
Oct 27 Qarabağ… v Şamaxı 3-0
Oct 24 Qarabağ… v Ajax 0-3
Şamaxı 0.0%
Dec 19 Şamaxı v Qarabağ… 0-1
Dec 04 Şamaxı v Zira 3-1
Nov 30 Şamaxı v Kəpəz 0-1
Nov 24 Şamaxı v Sumqayıt 2-1
Nov 02 Şamaxı v Zira 0-2
Oct 27 Şamaxı v Qarabağ… 3-0
Oct 19 Şamaxı v Araz 0-1
Sep 20 Şamaxı v Kəpəz 0-2
Sep 14 Şamaxı v Sumqayıt 1-0
Aug 25 Şamaxı v Zira 0-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Dec 19, 2024 Şamaxı 0-1 Qarabağ FK
Oct 27, 2024 Qarabağ FK 3-0 Şamaxı
Apr 02, 2023 Şamaxı 0-1 Qarabağ FK
Jan 31, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3-1 Şamaxı
Oct 30, 2022 Şamaxı 0-4 Qarabağ FK
Aug 27, 2022 Qarabağ FK 4-0 Şamaxı
Apr 15, 2022 Qarabağ FK 8-0 Şamaxı
Key Factors
Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5)
Şamaxı struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.