AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Nov 30, 2024

Zira

Home
VS
13:00

Sumqayıt

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Zira Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sumqayıt Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sumqayıt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Zira Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Zira vs Neftchi B… 2-1
Nov 10 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 4-0
Nov 06 Zira vs Young Ele… 4-3
Nov 02 Zira vs Şamaxı 0-2
Oct 20 Zira vs Sabah FA 1-1
Oct 19 Zira vs Namtha Un… 3-0
Sep 28 Zira vs Kəpəz 3-0
Sep 22 Zira vs Sumqayıt 0-2
Sep 15 Zira vs Neftchi B… 2-0
Sep 14 Zira vs Champasak… 10-0
Sumqayıt Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 24 Sumqayıt vs Şamaxı 2-1
Nov 03 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 1-0
Oct 20 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 2-4
Oct 06 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Sep 28 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Sep 22 Sumqayıt vs Zira 0-2
Sep 14 Sumqayıt vs Şamaxı 1-0
Aug 25 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 3-1
Aug 11 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 1-0
May 25 Sumqayıt vs Qabala 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 22, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 2 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 12, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Feb 13, 2024 Zira 0 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 26, 2023 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 15, 2023 Zira 1 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zira Power 0
Sumqayıt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Zira Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Sumqayıt Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.