AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONMEBOL Libertadores Feb 18, 2026

Liverpool Montevideo

Home
VS
00:30

Independiente Medellin

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Liverpool Montevideo Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Independiente Medellin Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.31 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Liverpool Montevideo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Independiente Medellin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 0-0 (17%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Liverpool Montevideo Form 50%

No recent form data available

Independiente Medellin Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Independi… vs Millonari… 0-0
Jan 28 Independi… vs Deportes … 2-2
Jan 24 Independi… vs Deportivo… 3-1
Jan 18 Independi… vs Deportivo… 1-0
Dec 18 Independi… vs Atlético … 0-1
Dec 13 Independi… vs Atlético … 0-0
Dec 08 Independi… vs Junior 2-1
Dec 04 Independi… vs Atlético … 2-1
Dec 02 Independi… vs America d… 1-1
Nov 27 Independi… vs America d… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente Medellin struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Liverpool Montevideo to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Liverpool Montevideo Power 0
Independiente Medellin Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.