AI Match Insights

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CONMEBOL Libertadores Feb 18, 2026

O'Higgins

Home
VS
22:00

Bahia

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
O'Higgins Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Bahia Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.06 - 1.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
O'Higgins Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
O'Higgins Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 O'Higgins vs Concepción 2-1
Dec 06 O'Higgins vs Everton d… 1-0
Nov 30 O'Higgins vs Unión Esp… 2-4
Nov 23 O'Higgins vs Universid… 0-1
Nov 08 O'Higgins vs Ñublense 4-2
Nov 02 O'Higgins vs Universid… 0-2
Oct 26 O'Higgins vs Coquimbo … 0-1
Oct 17 O'Higgins vs Deportes … 2-3
Sep 13 O'Higgins vs Palestino 1-2
Aug 30 O'Higgins vs A. Italia… 3-2
Bahia Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Bahia vs Porto BA 3-1
Jan 28 Bahia vs Corinthia… 1-2
Jan 25 Bahia vs Vitoria 0-1
Jan 20 Bahia vs Barcelona… 5-1
Jan 17 Bahia vs Galícia 3-0
Jan 14 Bahia vs Bahia de … 0-3
Jan 11 Bahia vs Jequié 4-2
Dec 07 Bahia vs Fluminense 2-0
Dec 03 Bahia vs Sport Rec… 2-0
Nov 28 Bahia vs Juventude 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • O'Higgins in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bahia in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: O'Higgins to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
O'Higgins Power 0
Bahia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.