AI Match Insights

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CONMEBOL Libertadores Feb 19, 2026

Nacional PotosĂ­

Home
VS
00:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Nacional PotosĂ­ Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Botafogo Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 4.25 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Nacional PotosĂ­ Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Nacional PotosĂ­ Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Nacional … vs Real Poto… 1-0
Dec 22 Nacional … vs Bolívar 1-2
Dec 20 Nacional … vs Bolívar 0-2
Dec 18 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-0
Dec 16 Nacional … vs The Stron… 1-2
Dec 14 Nacional … vs Real Toma… 1-0
Dec 11 Nacional … vs Real Oruro 1-2
Dec 08 Nacional … vs ABB 2-0
Dec 05 Nacional … vs Bolívar 5-2
Nov 30 Nacional … vs Oriente P… 2-1
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Botafogo vs Gremio 5-3
Feb 01 Botafogo vs Fluminense 0-1
Jan 30 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 4-0
Jan 25 Botafogo vs Bangu 2-0
Jan 21 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 1-0
Jan 18 Botafogo vs Sampaio C… 2-1
Jan 15 Botafogo vs Portugues… 0-2
Jan 04 Botafogo vs Santa Cru… 3-1
Dec 04 Botafogo vs Cruzeiro 2-2
Nov 30 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nacional PotosĂ­ in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nacional PotosĂ­ to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nacional PotosĂ­ Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.