AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONCACAF Champions League Feb 18, 2026

Defence Force

Home
VS
23:00

Philadelphia Union

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Defence Force Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Philadelphia Union Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.24 - 1.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.8
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Defence Force Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Philadelphia Union Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Defence Force Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Defence F… vs Prison Se… 2-0
Jan 25 Defence F… vs La Horque… 0-9
Jan 22 Defence F… vs Central 2-2
Jan 11 Defence F… vs San Juan … 1-3
Jan 08 Defence F… vs Morvant C… 1-3
Jan 04 Defence F… vs San Juan … 1-3
Dec 20 Defence F… vs La Horque… 2-5
Dec 18 Defence F… vs Point For… 3-0
Dec 12 Defence F… vs Prison Se… 1-2
Dec 07 Defence F… vs Club Sando 1-3
Philadelphia Union Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Philadelp… vs Buducnost… 0-0
Jan 20 Philadelp… vs Sigma Olo… 0-1
Nov 24 Philadelp… vs New York … 0-1
Nov 01 Philadelp… vs Chicago F… 0-3
Oct 26 Philadelp… vs Chicago F… 2-2
Oct 18 Philadelp… vs Charlotte 2-0
Oct 04 Philadelp… vs New York … 1-0
Sep 27 Philadelp… vs DC United 0-6
Sep 20 Philadelp… vs New Engla… 1-0
Sep 14 Philadelp… vs Vancouver… 7-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Defence Force in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Defence Force to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Defence Force Power 0
Philadelphia Union Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.