AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 04, 2026

Diyala

Home
VS
14:30

Al Karkh

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Diyala Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Al Karkh Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 46%
Market 40%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Level (0)
xG: 1.97 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.6 Asian Handicap: Level (0)
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Diyala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Al Karkh Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Diyala Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Diyala vs Newroz 2-1
Jan 27 Diyala vs Al-Talaba 1-1
Jan 22 Diyala vs Gharraf 1-1
Jan 17 Diyala vs Duhok 1-0
Jan 13 Diyala vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Jan 09 Diyala vs Naft 2-1
Jan 05 Diyala vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Dec 30 Diyala vs Al-Qasim … 3-0
Dec 22 Diyala vs Erbil 1-1
Nov 22 Diyala vs Al Kahrab… 1-2
Al Karkh Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Al Karkh vs Al-Karma 1-1
Jan 27 Al Karkh vs Erbil 1-1
Jan 22 Al Karkh vs Newroz 3-0
Jan 18 Al Karkh vs Baghdad 1-1
Jan 14 Al Karkh vs Al Minaa … 0-2
Jan 10 Al Karkh vs Al Najaf 2-0
Jan 04 Al Karkh vs Mosul 2-2
Dec 31 Al Karkh vs Zakho 1-1
Dec 22 Al Karkh vs Gharraf 1-0
Nov 20 Al Karkh vs Al Shorta… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 14, 2025 Diyala 2 - 0 Al Karkh Iraqi League
Feb 08, 2025 Al Karkh 3 - 1 Diyala Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Diyala Power 0
Al Karkh Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Diyala Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Al Karkh Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.