Iraqi League · Feb 05, 2026 12:00
Erbil
PWR 35
Naft
PWR 35
Erbil
PWR 35
3 - 1
FT
Naft
PWR 35
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
Erbil Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (30%)
0-0 (28%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 8 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk11%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskStrong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (8 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Erbil Form
DDLLW
STABLE
Naft Form
DDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS12%
Under 2.586%
Erbil Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Naft Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Erbilvs
0.20
NaftDecision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings78%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Erbil+9
Gap#12
Naft
WR 78% 35 pts
WR 11% 21 pts
Erbil
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Erbil v Baghdad | 1-1 |
| Jan 27 | Erbil v Al Karkh | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | Erbil v Al-Tala… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Erbil v Al Zawr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 13 | Erbil v Duhok | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | Erbil v Mosul | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Erbil v Al Quwa… | 0-0 |
| Dec 31 | Erbil v Naft Ma… | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Erbil v Diyala | 1-1 |
| Nov 22 | Erbil v Gharraf | 2-1 |
Naft
8.0%
| Feb 01 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 0-0 |
| Jan 28 | Naft v Al Mina… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | Naft v Naft Ma… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Naft v Al Kahr… | 1-0 |
| Jan 14 | Naft v Gharraf | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Naft v Diyala | 2-1 |
| Jan 05 | Naft v Newroz | 2-0 |
| Jan 01 | Naft v Al Najaf | 0-0 |
| Dec 23 | Naft v Al Quwa… | 0-0 |
| Nov 21 | Naft v Mosul | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 16, 2025 | Erbil | 2-3 | Naft |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Naft | 0-2 | Erbil |
| May 12, 2024 | Naft | 0-1 | Erbil |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Erbil | 1-1 | Naft |
| May 07, 2023 | Naft | 0-2 | Erbil |
| Dec 05, 2022 | Erbil | 2-0 | Naft |
| May 04, 2022 | Naft | 2-0 | Erbil |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Erbil | 0-0 | Naft |
| May 17, 2021 | Erbil | 2-1 | Naft |
| Jan 02, 2021 | Naft | 1-1 | Erbil |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.