AI Match Insights

FAW Championship Mar 06, 2026

Denbigh Town

Home
VS
19:45

Brickfield Rangers

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Denbigh Town Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Brickfield Rangers Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.99 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.7 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Denbigh Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Brickfield Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Denbigh Town Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Denbigh T… vs Flint Mou… 1-0
Jan 24 Denbigh T… vs Newtown A… 1-0
Jan 20 Denbigh T… vs Guilsfield 3-2
Jan 17 Denbigh T… vs Brickfiel… 1-2
Jan 01 Denbigh T… vs Gresford … 2-3
Dec 26 Denbigh T… vs Ruthin To… 3-1
Nov 14 Denbigh T… vs Airbus UK 2-3
Nov 07 Denbigh T… vs Llandudno 1-2
Nov 01 Denbigh T… vs Holyhead … 3-2
Oct 24 Denbigh T… vs Ruthin To… 2-2
Brickfield Rangers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Brickfiel… vs Penrhynco… 1-0
Jan 17 Brickfiel… vs Denbigh T… 1-2
Dec 27 Brickfiel… vs Gresford … 1-1
Dec 20 Brickfiel… vs Holyhead … 4-0
Nov 21 Brickfiel… vs Ruthin To… 1-2
Nov 08 Brickfiel… vs Penrhynco… 4-1
Nov 01 Brickfiel… vs Holywell 6-0
Oct 25 Brickfiel… vs Gresford … 1-1
Oct 18 Brickfiel… vs Rhyl 1-0
Oct 10 Brickfiel… vs Newtown A… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Denbigh Town in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2026 Brickfield Rangers 1 - 2 Denbigh Town FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Denbigh Town to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Denbigh Town Power 0
Brickfield Rangers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Denbigh Town Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Brickfield Rangers Position

Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.