AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Feb 07, 2026

Maranhão AC

Home
VS
21:00

Sampaio Corrêa

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Maranhão AC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sampaio Corrêa Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.12 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Maranhão AC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Maranhão … vs Fluminense 1-0
Jan 28 Maranhão … vs IAPE 1-0
Jan 24 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 0-1
Jan 21 Maranhão … vs ITZ Sport 1-0
Jan 18 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 4-2
Jan 14 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 3-1
Jan 11 Maranhão … vs Moto Club… 1-1
Sep 20 Maranhão … vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Sep 14 Maranhão … vs Santa Cru… 0-1
Sep 06 Maranhão … vs ASA 0-3
Sampaio Corrêa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Sampaio C… vs ITZ Sport 6-0
Jan 30 Sampaio C… vs Boavista 1-1
Jan 28 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 1-1
Jan 27 Sampaio C… vs Maringá 0-1
Jan 25 Sampaio C… vs Fluminense 1-1
Jan 22 Sampaio C… vs Madureira… 2-1
Jan 21 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-0
Jan 18 Sampaio C… vs Botafogo 2-1
Jan 18 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 4-2
Jan 15 Sampaio C… vs Nova Igua… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maranhão AC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2026 Sampaio Corrêa 4 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Apr 23, 2025 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 3 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Mar 15, 2025 Maranhão AC 1 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Jun 15, 2024 Maranhão AC 0 - 1 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
May 29, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 1 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Apr 17, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 3 - 3 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Mar 16, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhão AC 3 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maranhão AC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maranhão AC Power 0
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Maranhão AC Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.