La Liga · Apr 02, 2023 19:00
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
Real Betis
PWR 39
Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
1 - 0
FT
Real Betis
PWR 39
53% H
23% D
24% A
Final Verdict
Atlético Madrid Win
Prediction
4-1
Score
84%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (18%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (13%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 6 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy76%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORINGFORM_MISMATCH
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (6 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack49
Defense62
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.3
Atlético Madrid Form
WWWWL
UP
Real Betis Form
DDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS30%
Under 2.554%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Real Betis Goals
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Atlético Madridvs
0.42
Real BetisDecision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings75%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Atlético Ma…+2
Gap#5
Real Betis
WR 91% 45 pts
WR 18% 35 pts
Atlético Madrid
16.0%
| Mar 18 | Atlétic… v Valencia | 3-0 |
| Mar 13 | Atlétic… v Girona | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Atlétic… v Levante | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Atlétic… v FC Barc… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Atlétic… v Oviedo | 0-2 |
| Nov 09 | Atlétic… v Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Oct 23 | Atlétic… v Real Be… | 1-2 |
| Oct 15 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Oct 08 | Atlétic… v Girona | 2-1 |
Real Betis
12.0%
| Mar 12 | Real Be… v Villarr… | 1-1 |
| Mar 05 | Real Be… v Real Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Real Be… v Elche | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | Real Be… v FC Barc… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Real Be… v Getafe | 0-1 |
| Jan 12 | Real Be… v FC Barc… | 2-2 |
| Jan 08 | Real Be… v Rayo Va… | 1-2 |
| Nov 10 | Real Be… v Valencia | 3-0 |
| Nov 06 | Real Be… v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Oct 23 | Real Be… v Atlétic… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 23, 2022 | Real Betis | 1-2 | Atlético Madr… |
| Mar 06, 2022 | Real Betis | 1-3 | Atlético Madr… |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Atlético Madr… | 3-0 | Real Betis |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Real Betis | 1-1 | Atlético Madr… |
Key Factors
Atlético Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.