Primera B · Apr 27, 2024 20:00

Bogota FC
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT

Leones FC
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk35%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Close positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 0.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bogota FC Form LLWDW
DOWN
Leones FC Form DLWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.578%
BTTS85%
Under 2.522%
Bogota FC Goals
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Leones FC Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.06
Bogota FC
vs
2.24
Leones FC
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings55%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Bogota FC
+3
Gap
#13
Leones FC
WR 0% 2 pts WR 0% 2 pts
Bogota FC 10.0%
Feb 02 Bogota … v Union M… 0-2
Sep 16 Bogota … v Leones … 1-0
Apr 10 Bogota … v Leones … 4-3
Jul 09 Bogota … v Leones … 2-2
Apr 09 Bogota … v Leones … 1-0
Nov 23 Bogota … v Union M… 4-1
Nov 17 Bogota … v Union M… 2-1
Oct 24 Bogota … v Leones … 1-0
Oct 01 Bogota … v Union M… 3-1
Feb 26 Bogota … v Union M… 1-0
Leones FC 14.0%
Apr 25 Leones … v Deporti… 1-1
Feb 26 Leones … v Tigres … 2-3
Oct 04 Leones … v Real So… 3-2
Sep 16 Leones … v Bogota … 1-0
Sep 06 Leones … v Real So… 1-2
Sep 03 Leones … v Tigres … 1-2
Aug 02 Leones … v Quindio 0-0
Apr 10 Leones … v Bogota … 4-3
Mar 19 Leones … v Tigres … 0-1
Feb 14 Leones … v Quindio 0-3
Head-to-Head (5)
Sep 16, 2023 Leones FC 1-0 Bogota FC
Apr 10, 2023 Bogota FC 4-3 Leones FC
Jul 09, 2022 Leones FC 2-2 Bogota FC
Apr 09, 2022 Bogota FC 1-0 Leones FC
Oct 24, 2021 Leones FC 1-0 Bogota FC
Key Factors
Leones FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.