AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Persian Gulf Pro League Nov 02, 2023

Shams Azar Qazvin

Home
VS
12:00

Esteghlal FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Shams Azar Qazvin Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Esteghlal FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 1.92 - 0.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Shams Azar Qazvin Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Esteghlal FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Shams Azar Qazvin Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Shams Aza… vs Tractor 2-3
Oct 05 Shams Aza… vs ZOB Ahan 1-2
Aug 22 Shams Aza… vs Mes Rafsa… 0-3
Aug 09 Shams Aza… vs Esteghlal… 1-1
Apr 22 Shams Aza… vs Chadormal… 3-1
Apr 05 Shams Aza… vs Esteghlal… 2-1
Mar 29 Shams Aza… vs Kheybar K… 2-1
Nov 12 Shams Aza… vs Chadormal… 0-2
Oct 31 Shams Aza… vs Esteghlal… 2-1
Oct 25 Shams Aza… vs Kheybar K… 3-1
Esteghlal FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 28 Esteghlal… vs Esteghlal… 1-0
Aug 23 Esteghlal… vs Sepahan FC 1-0
Aug 17 Esteghlal… vs Malavan B… 1-0
May 31 Esteghlal… vs Persepolis 1-2
May 18 Esteghlal… vs Tractor 7-1
Apr 23 Esteghlal… vs Persepolis 1-0
Mar 31 Esteghlal… vs ZOB Ahan 2-0
Mar 06 Esteghlal… vs Gol Gohar 2-1
Feb 20 Esteghlal… vs Malavan B… 2-0
Feb 13 Esteghlal… vs Paykan 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shams Azar Qazvin in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Esteghlal FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shams Azar Qazvin Power 0
Esteghlal FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Shams Azar Qazvin Position

-9

Position Gap

2

Esteghlal FC Position
Home Win Rate: 10%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.