AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 25, 2024

Real Noroeste

Home
VS
20:30

Desportiva ES

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Real Noroeste Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Desportiva ES Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.91 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Real Noroeste Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Feb 07 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 5-1
Jan 31 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-3
Mar 24 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 1-0
Mar 17 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 2-1
Feb 25 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Feb 15 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Feb 01 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 0-1
Jan 27 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 1-2
Apr 21 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 0-2
Desportiva ES Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Desportiv… vs São Berna… 0-3
Feb 17 Desportiv… vs USAC 0-1
Feb 08 Desportiv… vs Vitoria 1-2
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 3-3
Jan 24 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 4-0
Jan 19 Desportiv… vs Serra Tal… 0-1
Apr 08 Desportiv… vs USAC 1-1
Apr 01 Desportiv… vs USAC 1-0
Mar 22 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Mar 19 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 01, 2023 Real Noroeste 0 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Feb 09, 2022 Real Noroeste 3 - 0 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Mar 06, 2021 Desportiva ES 0 - 0 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Noroeste Power 0
Desportiva ES Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Real Noroeste Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Desportiva ES Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.