Predictions Match Details
Copa EspĂ­rito Santo · Jun 19, 2024 22:00

Desportiva ES
PWR 59
3 - 1
FT
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
65% H 21% D 14% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Desportiva ES to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
POINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense75
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.7
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Desportiva ES Form WWDDW
STABLE
Real Noroeste Form DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.546%
BTTS46%
Under 2.554%
Desportiva … Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
45%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Desportiva ES
vs
0.81
Real Noroeste
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Desportiva …
+3
Gap
#5
Real Noroes…
WR 50% 42 pts WR 33% 21 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Desportiva ES241266351742
Real Noroeste18639283021
Desportiva ES 16.0%
Jun 09 Desport… v Vilavel… 0-3
May 29 Desport… v Capixab… 2-1
May 11 Desport… v Vitoria 0-0
Apr 27 Desport… v Rio Bra… 1-1
Mar 23 Desport… v Bandeir… 1-0
Mar 16 Desport… v Rio Bra… 0-1
Mar 10 Desport… v Rio Bra… 0-0
Mar 02 Desport… v Porto V… 2-0
Feb 25 Desport… v Real No… 2-2
Feb 24 Desport… v São Ber… 0-3
Real Noroeste 2.0%
May 25 Real No… v Vitoria 4-4
May 15 Real No… v Rio Bra… 2-3
May 08 Real No… v Porto V… 5-1
Mar 15 Real No… v Vitoria 2-4
Mar 11 Real No… v Vitoria 3-1
Mar 02 Real No… v Rio Bra… 0-1
Feb 28 Real No… v Rio Bra… 1-2
Feb 25 Real No… v Desport… 2-2
Feb 15 Real No… v Porto V… 0-2
Feb 10 Real No… v Rio Bra… 1-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Feb 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 2-2 Desportiva ES
Feb 01, 2023 Real Noroeste 0-1 Desportiva ES
Feb 09, 2022 Real Noroeste 3-0 Desportiva ES
Mar 06, 2021 Desportiva ES 0-0 Real Noroeste
Key Factors
Desportiva ES in strong form (3W in last 5)
Real Noroeste struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.