AI Match Insights

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Copa EspĂ­rito Santo Jul 10, 2024

Desportiva ES

Home
VS
22:00

Real Noroeste

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Desportiva ES Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Real Noroeste Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.67 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Desportiva ES Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 30 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Jun 22 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 1-0
Jun 19 Desportiv… vs Real Noro… 3-1
Jun 09 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 0-3
May 11 Desportiv… vs Vitoria 0-0
Apr 27 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Mar 23 Desportiv… vs Bandeiran… 1-0
Mar 16 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Mar 10 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Mar 02 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 2-0
Real Noroeste Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 03 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 1-2
Jun 22 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 3-1
Jun 19 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 3-1
May 25 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 4-4
May 15 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-3
Mar 15 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-4
Mar 11 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 3-1
Mar 02 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Feb 28 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 1-2
Feb 25 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 19, 2024 Desportiva ES 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Feb 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 2 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Feb 01, 2023 Real Noroeste 0 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Feb 09, 2022 Real Noroeste 3 - 0 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Mar 06, 2021 Desportiva ES 0 - 0 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Desportiva ES to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva ES Power 0
Real Noroeste Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.