Bundesliga · Oct 26, 2024 13:30

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46

Holstein Kiel
PWR 45

VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
2 - 1
FT

Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
VfB Stuttgart Win
Prediction
3-2
Score
77%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-0 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-0 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 77%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy77%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPAWAY_LEAKINGTABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdâś“ Passed (4 independent rules, 77% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
VfB Stuttgart Form
LLDDD
DOWN
Holstein Kiel Form
LDLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS77%
Under 2.534%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
1%
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
4
19%
Holstein Ki… Goals
0
22%
1
34%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.34
VfB Stuttgartvs
1.50
Holstein KielDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
VfB Stuttga…+17
Gap#21
Holstein Ki…
WR 40% 170 pts
WR 24% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 120 | 48 | 26 | 46 | 201 | 184 | 170 |
| Holstein Kiel | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 47 | 20 |
VfB Stuttgart
6.0%
| Oct 19 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 4-0 |
| Oct 19 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 4-0 |
| Oct 06 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Oct 06 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Sep 28 | VfB Stu… v VfL Wol… | 2-2 |
| Sep 22 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 5-1 |
| Sep 22 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 5-1 |
| Sep 14 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-3 |
| Sep 14 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 1-3 |
| Aug 31 | VfB Stu… v Mainz | 3-3 |
Holstein Kiel
4.0%
| Oct 20 | Holstei… v Union B… | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Holstei… v Bayer L… | 2-2 |
| Sep 29 | Holstei… v Eintrac… | 2-4 |
| Sep 21 | Holstei… v VfL Boc… | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Holstei… v Bayern … | 1-6 |
| Aug 31 | Holstei… v VfL Wol… | 0-2 |
| Aug 24 | Holstei… v 1899 Ho… | 3-2 |
| May 19 | Holstei… v Hannove… | 1-2 |
| May 19 | Holstei… v Hannove… | 1-2 |
| May 11 | Holstei… v Fortuna… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 24, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.