Bundesliga · Mar 08, 2025 14:30
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
Holstein Kiel
PWR 45
2 - 2
FT
VfB Stuttgart
PWR 46
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 5 rules · 69%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy88%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPAWAY_SCORINGHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack45
Defense85
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G0.5
Attack90
Defense40
Goals/G3.0
Conc/G2.0
Holstein Kiel Form
WLLDL
STABLE
VfB Stuttgart Form
LDLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.566%
BTTS61%
Under 2.534%
Holstein Ki… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
VfB Stuttga… Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Holstein Kielvs
1.08
VfB StuttgartDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum87%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#21
Holstein Ki…-17
Gap#4
VfB Stuttga…
WR 24% 20 pts
WR 40% 170 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 47 | 20 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 120 | 48 | 26 | 46 | 201 | 184 | 170 |
Holstein Kiel
6.0%
| Mar 02 | Holstei… v Union B… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Holstei… v Bayer L… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Holstei… v Eintrac… | 3-1 |
| Feb 09 | Holstei… v VfL Boc… | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Holstei… v Bayern … | 4-3 |
| Jan 24 | Holstei… v VfL Wol… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | Holstei… v 1899 Ho… | 1-3 |
| Jan 14 | Holstei… v Borussi… | 4-2 |
| Jan 11 | Holstei… v SC Frei… | 3-2 |
| Dec 21 | Holstei… v FC Augs… | 5-1 |
VfB Stuttgart
10.0%
| Feb 28 | VfB Stu… v Bayern … | 1-3 |
| Feb 23 | VfB Stu… v 1899 Ho… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | VfB Stu… v VfL Wol… | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | VfB Stu… v FC Augs… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | VfB Stu… v Borussi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | VfB Stu… v M'gladb… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | VfB Stu… v Mainz | 2-0 |
| Jan 18 | VfB Stu… v SC Frei… | 4-0 |
| Jan 15 | VfB Stu… v RB Leip… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Oct 26, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| Oct 26, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-1 | Holstein Kiel |
| May 24, 2020 | Holstein Kiel | 3-2 | VfB Stuttgart |
Key Factors
Holstein Kiel struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.