AI Match Insights

Copa del Rey Mar 02, 2022

Valencia

Home
VS
20:30

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Valencia Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Athletic Club Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.15 - 1.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Valencia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 26 Valencia vs Mallorca 0-1
Jan 22 Valencia vs Atlético … 3-2
Jan 19 Valencia vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Jan 05 Valencia vs Cartagena 1-2
Dec 31 Valencia vs Espanyol 1-2
Dec 20 Valencia vs Levante 3-4
Dec 11 Valencia vs Elche 2-1
Dec 05 Valencia vs Celta de … 1-2
Nov 07 Valencia vs Atlético … 3-3
Oct 27 Valencia vs Real Betis 4-1
Athletic Club Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Feb 20 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 4-0
Feb 14 Athletic … vs Mallorca 3-2
Feb 03 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-0
Jan 20 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 3-2
Jan 16 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 0-2
Jan 13 Athletic … vs Atlético … 1-2
Dec 22 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-2
Dec 11 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 0-1
Dec 01 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Valencia to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Valencia Power 29
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.