AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 11, 2023

Valencia

Home
VS
20:00

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Valencia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Club Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 4.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Valencia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Valencia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 26 Valencia vs Athletic … 1-3
Jan 18 Valencia vs Sporting … 0-4
Nov 10 Valencia vs Real Betis 3-0
Oct 22 Valencia vs Mallorca 1-2
Oct 18 Valencia vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Oct 15 Valencia vs Elche 2-2
Oct 02 Valencia vs Espanyol 2-2
Sep 17 Valencia vs Celta de … 3-0
Sep 04 Valencia vs Getafe 5-1
Aug 29 Valencia vs Atlético … 0-1
Athletic Club Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Athletic … vs Celta de … 1-0
Jan 26 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-3
Jan 22 Athletic … vs Real Madr… 0-2
Jan 14 Athletic … vs Real Soci… 3-1
Jan 09 Athletic … vs Osasuna 0-0
Oct 23 Athletic … vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Oct 15 Athletic … vs Atlético … 0-1
Oct 08 Athletic … vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Aug 21 Athletic … vs Valencia 1-0
Aug 15 Athletic … vs Mallorca 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Athletic Club struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2023 Valencia 1 - 3 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Aug 21, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Valencia La Liga
May 07, 2022 Athletic Club 0 - 0 Valencia La Liga
Mar 02, 2022 Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Club Copa del Rey
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Valencia Power 29
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

Valencia Position

-5

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.