Friendlies Clubs · Jul 22, 2023 09:00
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
Nice
PWR 29
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
1-0
predicted
Nice
PWR 29
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Montpellier HSC to win (80% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
80%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1-0 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
POSITION_GAPAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack34
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Attack41
Defense43
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.9
Montpellier HSC Form
LLLDD
DOWN
Nice Form
WDLLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS62%
Under 2.541%
Montpellier… Goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Nice Goals
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Montpellier HSCvs
1.52
NiceDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#416
Montpellier…+380
Gap#796
Nice
WR 17% 5 pts
WR 50% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier HSC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Montpellier HSC
4.0%
| May 27 | Montpel… v Nice | 2-3 |
| Jan 11 | Montpel… v Nice | 6-1 |
| Jan 06 | Montpel… v Pau FC | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Montpel… v Metz | 2-2 |
| Mar 12 | Montpel… v Nice | 0-0 |
| Feb 05 | Montpel… v Saint-É… | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | Montpel… v Metz | 1-3 |
| Sep 12 | Montpel… v Saint-É… | 2-0 |
| Jul 31 | Montpel… v Metz | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Montpel… v Saint-É… | 1-2 |
Nice
8.0%
| May 27 | Nice v Montpel… | 2-3 |
| May 21 | Nice v Toulouse | 0-0 |
| May 13 | Nice v Strasbo… | 2-0 |
| Apr 16 | Nice v Stade B… | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Nice v Angers | 1-1 |
| Mar 19 | Nice v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Mar 12 | Nice v Nantes | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Nice v Monaco | 0-3 |
| Feb 05 | Nice v Marseil… | 1-3 |
| Feb 01 | Nice v Lens | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 27, 2023 | Montpellier H… | 2-3 | Nice |
| Jan 11, 2023 | Nice | 6-1 | Montpellier H… |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Montpellier H… | 0-0 | Nice |
Key Factors
Montpellier HSC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.