AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 05, 2021

Lens

Home
VS
20:00

Estac Troyes

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Lens Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Estac Troyes Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.26 - 1.20
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Lens Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Lens vs Marseille 2-3
Sep 22 Lens vs Strasbourg 0-1
Aug 08 Lens vs Rennes FC 1-1
Jul 17 Lens vs LE Havre … 2-2
Mar 21 Lens vs Strasbourg 1-2
Feb 28 Lens vs Angers 2-2
Feb 10 Lens vs Nantes 2-4
Feb 06 Lens vs Rennes FC 0-0
Feb 03 Lens vs Marseille 2-2
Jan 23 Lens vs Nice 0-1
Estac Troyes Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Estac Tro… vs Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac Tro… vs Lyon 3-1
Apr 03 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 1-0
Mar 13 Estac Tro… vs Nancy 1-5
Feb 13 Estac Tro… vs Rodez 2-1
Dec 15 Estac Tro… vs Nancy 2-3
Dec 01 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 1-2
Oct 17 Estac Tro… vs Rodez 0-1
Jul 09 Estac Tro… vs Reims 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estac Troyes in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: Lens to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Lens Power 44
Estac Troyes Power 42
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.