Ligue 1 · May 14, 2022 19:00
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
Lens
PWR 44
Estac Troyes
PWR 42
1 - 3
FT
Lens
PWR 44
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
0-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-3
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 4 rules · 60%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy77%
AWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAPHOME_LEAKINGAWAY_TABLE_EXTREMES
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 72%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Estac Troyes Form
WLDLW
STABLE
Lens Form
DWLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.550%
BTTS52%
Under 2.550%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Lens Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Estac Troyesvs
1.03
LensDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#25
Estac Troyes-23
Gap#2
Lens
WR 17% 8 pts
WR 54% 189 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 8 |
| Lens | 104 | 56 | 21 | 27 | 154 | 106 | 189 |
Estac Troyes
10.0%
| Apr 03 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Estac T… v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Estac T… v Annecy | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Estac T… v Lens | 4-0 |
| Oct 24 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Estac T… v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Apr 03 | Estac T… v Guingamp | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Estac T… v Annecy | 1-5 |
| Feb 13 | Estac T… v Rodez | 2-1 |
| Dec 15 | Estac T… v Annecy | 2-3 |
Lens
10.0%
| Apr 30 | Lens v Nantes | 2-2 |
| Apr 10 | Lens v Nice | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Angers | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Lens v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Lens v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Lens v Nice | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Lens v Nantes | 3-2 |
| Nov 27 | Lens v Laval | 1-1 |
| Nov 26 | Lens v Angers | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 05, 2021 | Lens | 4-0 | Estac Troyes |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.