Ligue 1 · Sep 09, 2022 19:00

Lens
PWR 44
1 - 0
FT

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 76%
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Lens Form WWDWL
STABLE
Estac Troyes Form LLWLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS47%
Under 2.541%
Lens Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lens
vs
0.65
Estac Troyes
Decision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Lens
+23
Gap
#25
Estac Troyes
WR 54% 189 pts WR 17% 8 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Lens104562127154106189
Estac Troyes1222810278
Lens 14.0%
Aug 27 Lens v Rennes … 2-1
May 14 Lens v Estac T… 1-3
Apr 30 Lens v Nantes 2-2
Apr 10 Lens v Nice 3-0
Apr 03 Lens v Strasbo… 1-0
Feb 27 Lens v Angers 1-2
Jan 22 Lens v Marseil… 0-2
Jan 08 Lens v Rennes … 1-0
Dec 22 Lens v Nice 2-1
Dec 10 Lens v Nantes 3-2
Estac Troyes 6.0%
Aug 19 Estac T… v Lyon 4-1
May 14 Estac T… v Lens 1-3
Apr 03 Estac T… v Reims 1-0
Jan 16 Estac T… v Lyon 0-1
Dec 18 Estac T… v Nancy 1-1
Nov 05 Estac T… v Lens 4-0
Oct 24 Estac T… v Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac T… v Lyon 3-1
Apr 03 Estac T… v Guingamp 1-0
Mar 13 Estac T… v Nancy 1-5
Head-to-Head (2)
May 14, 2022 Estac Troyes 1-3 Lens
Nov 05, 2021 Lens 4-0 Estac Troyes
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (3W in last 5)
Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.