Ligue 1 · Sep 09, 2022 19:00

Lens
PWR 44

Estac Troyes
PWR 42

Lens
PWR 44
1 - 0
FT

Estac Troyes
PWR 42
57% H
23% D
20% A
Final Verdict
Lens Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
76%
Confidence
ELITE
Stability ELITE
Stability ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WON - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
ELITE · 7 rules · 76%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy76%
TOP3_VS_BOTTOMPOSITION_GAPAWAY_WEAK_RATEPOINTS_GAPHOME_TOP_POSITIONAWAY_BOTTOM_POSITIONAWAY_LEAKING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Large gap = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (7 rules, 76% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack51
Defense76
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack47
Defense71
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.0
Lens Form
WWDWL
STABLE
Estac Troyes Form
LLWLD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS47%
Under 2.541%
Lens Goals
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Estac Troyes Goals
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Lensvs
0.65
Estac TroyesDecision Breakdown
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#2
Lens+23
Gap#25
Estac Troyes
WR 54% 189 pts
WR 17% 8 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 104 | 56 | 21 | 27 | 154 | 106 | 189 |
| Estac Troyes | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 8 |
Lens
14.0%
| Aug 27 | Lens v Rennes … | 2-1 |
| May 14 | Lens v Estac T… | 1-3 |
| Apr 30 | Lens v Nantes | 2-2 |
| Apr 10 | Lens v Nice | 3-0 |
| Apr 03 | Lens v Strasbo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Lens v Angers | 1-2 |
| Jan 22 | Lens v Marseil… | 0-2 |
| Jan 08 | Lens v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Dec 22 | Lens v Nice | 2-1 |
| Dec 10 | Lens v Nantes | 3-2 |
Estac Troyes
6.0%
| Aug 19 | Estac T… v Lyon | 4-1 |
| May 14 | Estac T… v Lens | 1-3 |
| Apr 03 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 16 | Estac T… v Lyon | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | Estac T… v Nancy | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Estac T… v Lens | 4-0 |
| Oct 24 | Estac T… v Reims | 1-2 |
| Sep 22 | Estac T… v Lyon | 3-1 |
| Apr 03 | Estac T… v Guingamp | 1-0 |
| Mar 13 | Estac T… v Nancy | 1-5 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 14, 2022 | Estac Troyes | 1-3 | Lens |
| Nov 05, 2021 | Lens | 4-0 | Estac Troyes |
Key Factors
Lens in strong form (3W in last 5)
Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.